PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TT Tim Tawa RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.