PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.