PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .393vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 29%Slider 25%Four-Seam Fastball 25%Changeup 21%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 WC William Contreras RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BT Brice Turang LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jackson Chourio RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →