PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.