PITCHER MATCHUP

Rhett Lowder vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Rhett Lowder's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Rhett Lowder's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2024
Sinker 30%Slider 27%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Changeup 20%Curveball 2%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Rhett Lowder, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Sinker (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.