PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .258
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.