PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .255
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .264
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .259
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.