PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 29%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-21 game page →