PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.