PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 29%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.