PITCHER MATCHUP
Reynaldo López vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Reynaldo López's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 29%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .373
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.