PITCHER MATCHUP
Reynaldo López vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Reynaldo López's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 29%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →