PITCHER MATCHUP
Reynaldo López vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Reynaldo López's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .334
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .410
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .464 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.