PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 30%Curveball 11%Changeup 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .340
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Brett Baty LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Juan Soto LHB .419
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .481 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MV Mark Vientos RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FL Francisco Lindor SH .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-06 game page →