PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 595 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PR Pedro Ramírez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-14 game page →