PITCHER MATCHUP
Reynaldo López vs St. Louis Cardinals
How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Reynaldo López's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 29%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%
How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NC Nathan Church LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JF José Fermín RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
- Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.