PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 55%Slider 30%Curveball 11%Changeup 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (55% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-01 game page →