PITCHER MATCHUP

Reynaldo López vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reynaldo López's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reynaldo López's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 54%Slider 30%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reynaldo López, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (54% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.