PITCHER MATCHUP

Ray Kerr vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ray Kerr's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ray Kerr's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .323vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Curveball 36%Sinker 16%CS 5%Cutter 4%Splitter 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ray Kerr, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.