PITCHER MATCHUP

Ray Kerr vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ray Kerr's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ray Kerr's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .278Seasons 2026–2024
Curveball 36%Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sinker 17%Cutter 7%CS 4%Splitter 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ray Kerr, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Curveball (36% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.