PITCHER MATCHUP
Ranger Suarez vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ranger Suarez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.