PITCHER MATCHUP
Ranger Suarez vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ranger Suarez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.