PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →