PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-18 game page →