PITCHER MATCHUP
Ranger Suarez vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Ranger Suarez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 17%Slider 4%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
- Sinker (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.