PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.