PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 17%Curveball 17%Slider 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Colton Cowser LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.