PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 17%Slider 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 ER Esteury Ruiz RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esteury Ruiz
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-24 game page →