PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .287vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 17%Slider 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MG Mitch Garver RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.