PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 632 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.