PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 28%Cutter 18%Changeup 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 16%Slider 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LR Luke Raley LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MG Mitch Garver RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
    • Sinker (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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