PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Changeup 17%Curveball 17%Slider 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →