PITCHER MATCHUP

Ranger Suarez vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Ranger Suarez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Ranger Suarez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 27%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 17%Changeup 16%Slider 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Ranger Suarez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sinker (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.