PITCHER MATCHUP
Randy Vásquez vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Randy Vásquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 BL Brooks Lee SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Josh Bell SH .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KC Kody Clemens SH .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 VC Victor Caratini SH .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.