PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EA Edwin Arroyo SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edwin Arroyo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-01 game page →