PITCHER MATCHUP
Randy Vásquez vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Randy Vásquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Matt McLain RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.