PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 12%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-26 game page →