PITCHER MATCHUP
Randy Vásquez vs Pittsburgh Pirates
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Randy Vásquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%
How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .350
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake Mangum SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.