PITCHER MATCHUP
Randy Vásquez vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Randy Vásquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .381vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 3%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LT Leody Taveras SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.