PITCHER MATCHUP
Randy Vásquez vs Baltimore Orioles
How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Randy Vásquez's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%
How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
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1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .369
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 LT Leody Taveras SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (4% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.