PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .370vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Leody Taveras SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.