PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .341Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.