PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .381vs RHH xwOBA .360Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →