PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .364Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 13%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →