PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .354Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 12%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.