PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .374vs RHH xwOBA .340Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 18%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .401
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.