PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .339Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Cutter 23%Sinker 17%Curveball 11%Sweeper 9%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .401
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.