PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Vásquez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Vásquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Vásquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .354Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Cutter 23%Sinker 16%Curveball 12%Sweeper 10%Changeup 8%Slider 4%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Vásquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .405
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.