PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Dobnak vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Dobnak's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Dobnak's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Changeup 22%Sweeper 21%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Slider 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Dobnak, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-24 game page →