PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Dobnak vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Dobnak's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Dobnak's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Changeup 22%Sweeper 21%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Slider 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Dobnak, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.