PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Dobnak vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Dobnak's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Dobnak's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Changeup 22%Sweeper 20%Slider 10%Four-Seam Fastball 10%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Dobnak, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.