PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Dobnak vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Dobnak's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Dobnak's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Changeup 22%Sweeper 21%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Slider 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Dobnak, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.