PITCHER MATCHUP

Randy Dobnak vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Randy Dobnak's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Randy Dobnak's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .352Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 37%Changeup 23%Sweeper 18%Slider 11%Four-Seam Fastball 10%Curveball 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Randy Dobnak, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .295
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Sinker (37% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.