PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.