PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 24%Changeup 19%Curveball 10%Sinker 8%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .297
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 586 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.