PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Changeup 21%Slider 21%Curveball 11%Sinker 5%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 675 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →