PITCHER MATCHUP
Quinn Mathews vs Philadelphia Phillies
How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Quinn Mathews's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%
How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.