PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .262vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 23%Changeup 17%Curveball 12%Sinker 9%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →