PITCHER MATCHUP
Quinn Mathews vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Quinn Mathews's arsenal
Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Slider 24%Changeup 17%Curveball 12%Sinker 5%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .319
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 AF Alex Freeland SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
- Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.