PITCHER MATCHUP
Quinn Mathews vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Quinn Mathews's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .328
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .351
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.