PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Changeup 17%Curveball 13%Sinker 9%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →