PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .237vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 24%Changeup 17%Curveball 13%Sinker 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.