PITCHER MATCHUP

Quinn Mathews vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Quinn Mathews's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Quinn Mathews's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Slider 23%Changeup 16%Curveball 13%Sinker 10%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Quinn Mathews, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.