PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Changeup 22%Slider 18%SV 10%Sinker 9%Cutter 9%Curveball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BB Byron Buxton RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →