PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 9%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 3%Curveball 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.