PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 16%SV 9%Cutter 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 3%Curveball 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 RG Riley Greene LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.