PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Cutter 10%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.