PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .336Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Changeup 22%Slider 19%SV 10%Sinker 9%Cutter 8%Curveball 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 RG Riley Greene LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →