PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Tampa Bay Rays
How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Cutter 10%Sinker 9%SV 9%Sweeper 4%
How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .303
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1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TW Taylor Walls SH .260
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .279
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .276
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.