PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 9%SV 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 4%Curveball 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.