PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 16%Cutter 9%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 3%Curveball 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →