PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs San Diego Padres
How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Cutter 10%SV 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 4%
How the San Diego Padres's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Manny Machado RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 TF Ty France RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LC Luis Campusano RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 ST Samad Taylor SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.