PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .288Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 24%Slider 14%Cutter 10%SV 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .207 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.