PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 22%Slider 17%Cutter 9%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 2%Curveball 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CM Coby Mayo RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .215 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-17 game page →