PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Cutter 10%Sinker 9%SV 9%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .228 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.