PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .294vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 15%Cutter 9%SV 9%Sinker 9%Sweeper 4%Curveball 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.