PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Cutter 10%Sinker 9%SV 9%Sweeper 4%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.