PITCHER MATCHUP

Peter Lambert vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Peter Lambert's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Cutter 10%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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