PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Cutter 10%SV 9%Sinker 8%Sweeper 4%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (23% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.