PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .283Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Cutter 10%Sinker 9%SV 9%Sweeper 4%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Josh Smith LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.