PITCHER MATCHUP
Peter Lambert vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Peter Lambert's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Peter Lambert's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Changeup 22%Slider 19%SV 10%Sinker 9%Cutter 9%Curveball 1%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Peter Lambert, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GS George Springer RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →