PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Sinker 19%Cutter 16%Curveball 8%Changeup 4%Slider 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AR Amed Rosario RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →