PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Sinker 19%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 4%Slider 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .336
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.