PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.