PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Sinker 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 8%Changeup 4%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DR Drew Romo SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →