PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.