PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .264Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Sinker 19%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 4%Slider 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT José Tena LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.