PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BH Brady House RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.