PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .255Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-22 game page →