PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.