PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .339
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.