PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .273vs RHH xwOBA .255Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sinker 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .339
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.