PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 49%Sinker 19%Cutter 18%Curveball 9%Changeup 4%Slider 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 605 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JF Jose Fernandez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Fernandez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →