PITCHER MATCHUP

Payton Tolle vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Payton Tolle's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Payton Tolle's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .257Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Sinker 22%Cutter 19%Curveball 9%Changeup 3%Slider 1%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Payton Tolle, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Ketel Marte SH .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.