PITCHER MATCHUP

Paul Skenes vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Paul Skenes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Paul Skenes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .284vs RHH xwOBA .245Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 15%Splitter 13%Changeup 11%Sinker 11%Slider 7%Curveball 3%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Paul Skenes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 535 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 686 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 610 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.