PITCHER MATCHUP

Paul Skenes vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Paul Skenes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Paul Skenes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .271vs RHH xwOBA .237Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 16%Splitter 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 10%Slider 5%Curveball 4%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Paul Skenes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PB Patrick Bailey SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AH Austin Hedges RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Hedges
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →